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Crypto Derivatives 6 August 2024

Block Scholes -Bl

Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners.

In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes.

One of the largest global market selloffs since the COVID pandemic took its toll on crypto-spot prices, resulting in double-digit selloffs that were harder felt by ETH and alts than BTC. The selloff saw funding rates spike negative as accumualted long positions were likely liquidated, and the volatility term structure inverted as traders rushed to cover exposure to further downside moves in the short term. However, volatility levels did not spike above their year-to-date highs for either major, and longer-dated volatility smiles remained steadfastly skewed towards OTM calls. This indicates that while this was strong move in the short term, traders are not yet concerned about long-term performance.

ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor

fig1 OKX Currency-Combined-1M-ATM-VOL-ETH

BTC Options

fig2 BTC SVI Vol term structure

BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility

fig3 OKX BTC SVI ATM volatility

Volatility levels inverted strongly during the selloff, and have since trailed off

BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal

fig4 OKX BTC SVI PC skew

Short tenor options skewed strongly towards puts, but longer-tenor smiles remained steadfastly call-skewed

ETH Options

fig5 ETH SVI Vol term structure

ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility

fig6 OKX ETH SVI ATM volatility

Shows a similar premium at short tenors to BTC, but trades 10-15 points higher across the term structure

ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal

fig7 OKX ETH SVI PC skew

Short tenors have not shown the same recovery from their sharp put-skew during the selloff as BTC’s have

Market Composite Volatility Surface

fig8 okx snap BTC SMILES.moneyness
fig9 okx snap ETH SMILES.moneyness

Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles

fig10 BTC BTC-30AUG24 Listed Expiry
fig11 ETH ETH-30AUG24 Listed Expiry

Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles

fig12 BTC-SVI Constant Maturity
fig13 ETH-SVI Constant Maturity

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This report is not intended as financial advice, investment recommendation, or an endorsement of specific trading strategies. The contents of this report, including but not limited to any graphs, charts, and numerical data, are provided “as is” without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The warranties disclaimed include but are not limited to performance, merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, omissions, completeness, currentness, and delays.

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Disclaimer
This content is provided for informational purposes only and may cover products that are not available in your region. It is not intended to provide (i) investment advice or an investment recommendation; (ii) an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold digital assets, or (iii) financial, accounting, legal, or tax advice. Digital asset holdings, including stablecoins and NFTs, involve a high degree of risk and can fluctuate greatly. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Please consult your legal/tax/investment professional for questions about your specific circumstances. Information (including market data and statistical information, if any) appearing in this post is for general information purposes only. While all reasonable care has been taken in preparing this data and graphs, no responsibility or liability is accepted for any errors of fact or omission expressed herein. Both OKX Web3 Wallet and OKX NFT Marketplace are subject to separate terms of service at www.okx.com.
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